Evaluation of simple methods for regional mortality forecasts
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Evaluation of bias-correction methods for streamflow forecasts
Evaluation of bias-correction methods for ensemble streamflow volume forecasts T. Hashino, A. A. Bradley, and S. S. Schwartz University of Wisconsin, Department of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences, Madison, Wisconsin, USA The University of Iowa, IIHR – Hydroscience & Engineering, Iowa City, Iowa, USA Center for Urban Environmental Research and Education, UMBC, Baltimore, Maryland, USA Received: 1...
متن کاملEvaluation of bias-correction methods for ensemble streamflow volume forecasts
Ensemble prediction systems are used operationally to make probabilistic streamflow forecasts for seasonal time scales. However, hydrological models used for ensemble streamflow prediction often have simulation biases that degrade forecast quality and limit the operational usefulness of the forecasts. This study evaluates three biascorrection methods for ensemble streamflow volume forecasts. Al...
متن کاملislanding detection methods for microgrids
امروزه استفاده از منابع انرژی پراکنده کاربرد وسیعی یافته است . اگر چه این منابع بسیاری از مشکلات شبکه را حل می کنند اما زیاد شدن آنها مسائل فراوانی برای سیستم قدرت به همراه دارد . استفاده از میکروشبکه راه حلی است که علاوه بر استفاده از مزایای منابع انرژی پراکنده برخی از مشکلات ایجاد شده توسط آنها را نیز منتفی می کند . همچنین میکروشبکه ها کیفیت برق و قابلیت اطمینان تامین انرژی مشترکان را افزایش ...
15 صفحه اولSimple Forecasts and Paradigm Shifts
We study the implications of learning in an environment where the true model of the world is a multivariate one, but where agents update only over the class of simple univariate models. If a particular simple model does a poor job of forecasting over a period of time, it is eventually discarded in favor of an alternative—yet equally simple—model that would have done better over the same period....
متن کاملStatistical evaluation of forecasts.
Reliable forecasts of extreme but rare events, such as earthquakes, financial crashes, and epileptic seizures, would render interventions and precautions possible. Therefore, forecasting methods have been developed which intend to raise an alarm if an extreme event is about to occur. In order to statistically validate the performance of a prediction system, it must be compared to the performanc...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Genus
سال: 2018
ISSN: 2035-5556
DOI: 10.1186/s41118-018-0040-z